The rial has lost one third of its value this year alone and is now officially 60,000 to the dollar. Russia clearly cut Iran down to size in its attempt to lord over Syria. The same night, another large fire destroyed an unknown facility in Salmas near Tehran. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. For example, the video released of the latest event in Baqershahr described a minor explosion in a factory in a mundane industry. Dr. David Wurmser is Director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship. That number is a lot higher on the black market. Not, we can hope, … David Wurmser is director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship. Ayatollah Khamenei. The question now is whether the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will use the malaise to launch a putsch, or will Iranians again take to the streets … or both? Linkedin. That number is a lot higher in the black market. And with good reason: The videos released by the government often contain information disproving its narrative. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. “We are now witnessing skyrocketing process. Mostafa Aslani - 5th February 2020. One year after the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the number one man in promoting the Iranian regime's terrorist policies in the region, the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the father of Iranian nuclear activities, took place, virtually without retaliation. More by David Wurmser. Wednesday, Mar 24, 2021. The … It evinces weakness. Pinterest . Taken together, this collection represents two sorts of misfortunes: one afflicting strategic military programs and the other the regime’s stability. And yet a fleeting image of an official captured by the video revealed a rank insignia of a brigadier-general – hardly the level of an officer normally interested in such a small event at an insignificant facility. As a result, while we will not rush to judge it as the “ineffectiveness of the Iranian regime” quite yet, certainly the course of developments in the Middle East has changed. This Iranian Regime Will Fall Mohsen Kadivar , Der Spiegel December 26, 2009 In a SPIEGEL interview, Iranian Ayatollah Mohsen Kadivar, currently a visiting research professor at America's Duke University, discusses the recent death of opposition leader Hossein Ali Montazeri, the frustrations Iranians have with their regime and the future of the green movement and the prospect of an escalation. Iranians have witnessed many attempts of “Regime Change” across the Middle East, None of which turned out the way it was planned to. On July 2, an explosion, responsibility for which was claimed by an unknown opposition group, the Homeland Panthers, ripped apart the new centrifuge assembly building in the Natanz nuclear center. Iran’s regime is battered and appears penetrated, impotent, and vulnerable to popular disdain, which often leads to eruption. News US' John Bolton calls for fall of Iranian regime in DW interview. This road leads to the regime’s inevitable fall and the ultimate victory for the people of Iran. The Iranian government should respect their people’s rights, including their right to express themselves.” For the people of Iran, with help from Donald Trump, this could just possibly be the dawning of a new era of freedom. To add insult to injury, the regime has also been humiliated abroad. Meanwhile, the MEK became known as … All this spells doom for the Republic of Virtue. By – Amil Imani. Dr. David Wurmser is Director of the Center for Security Policy’s Project on Global Anti-Semitism and the US-Israel Relationship.He is a former U.S. Navy Reserve intelligence officer with extensive national security experience working for the State Department, the Pentagon, Vice President Dick Cheney and the National Security Council. That tension has simmered for a year as Iran attempted to outmaneuver Russia as the mentor of key security officials and apparatus, as the controller of strategy, and as the mercantile benefactor of reconstruction. They cannot … The regime is in effect taking the Iranian people’s health hostage to its own ends. Report: U.S. In short, Iran was afflicted by the explosion of two admitted military targets (the Khojir missile and Natanz enrichment facilities), two power plants (Shiraz and Ahvaz), one petrochemical factory (Karoun), and three mysterious fires in Shiraz, Baqershahr, and the Tajrish Square area of Tehran. On June 26, a building in the solid-fuel assembly plant of the Khojir missile facility, which also has deal with nuclear-warhead designs, exploded with such force that it was seen 70 kilometers away. Despite his critics, President Trump is serious in his efforts to squeeze Iran’s economy as much and as fast as possible. Iran's Regime Is Falling Apart. Not only has Israel struck several times recently at Iranian forces deploying near its borders in Syria, but Russia has in the last several days occupied the main corridor in eastern Syria through which all Iranian ground transport via Iraq passes. Former Trump adviser John Bolton has criticized the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran, saying it was based on a "flat-out lie." Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. British Typhoons blast terrorist bunker hideouts, Hypersonic gap: US spending $15bn to match rivals, German subs using Russian nav systems: report, Duterte tugs the dragon’s tail with fighter planes, Navy’s unmanned push hits rough seas in Congress, Brazil reels after military leaders resign en masse, Proudly powered by Newspack by Automattic. As the parade of stricken facilities mounted and diversified, the serial nature of the events combined with the regime’s fallen credibility certainly stimulated unflattering popular explanations. Throughout the entire span of these events, demonstrations by workers unpaid for three months by both government and private entities have plagued the city of Ahvaz and Shush, and even paralyzed its transportation and rail centers. Ultimately, however, Iranians do not really care who did what. In short, Iran was afflicted by the explosion of two admitted military targets (the Khojir missile and Natanz enrichment facilities), two power plants (Shiraz and Ahvaz), one petrochemical factory (Karoun), and three mysterious fires in Shiraz, Baqershahr, and the Tajrish Square area of Tehran. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. On July 4, a fire and explosion in southwest, predominantly Sunni Arab province of Ahvaz destroyed the power plant and further south, at about the same time, the Karoun Petrochemical plant failed and released what was claimed to be chlorine gas, sending about six dozen to hospital. At the same time, an explosion and fire destroyed the power plant servicing the southwestern city of Shiraz, plunging it into darkness. Originally published as an Asia Times exclusive. Iran is headed for a drought of biblical proportions, according to him, one that is already underway if you look at rural migration patterns. Also in 2018, two Iranian … On July 3, another enormous fire erupted in the northwest part of Shiraz in an unknown location and facility. In doing so, Obama lifted the siege on Iran and provided its regime, which was very close to falling, with a $100 billion lifeline. There are only six weeks to go until the second round of US sanctions hits Iran, but already the Iranian economy is spiralling and global economic experts believe that the current Regime will likely fall and soon. The same night, another large fire destroyed an unknown facility in Salmas near Tehran. On June 30, an explosion, fire and then hefty secondary explosions ripped through the sub-basement levels of a medical center in northern Tehran. As chip tech moves ahead, is China falling behind? On July 3, another enormous fire erupted in the northwest part of Shiraz in an unknown location and facility. Trump intends to make the Islamic regime fall on its own via crippling sanctions. Iranians are numbed to catastrophe as the norm and to coverup as a given. on: November 07, 2018. It’s the Iranian regime itself that has done the most to contribute to the rapid spread of COVID-19 both in Iran and, more recently, from Iran to other parts of the world—including the United States. Meanwhile Iran’s currency is in free fall. The pervasiveness of corruption and incompetence led Iranians to expect an assembly line of disasters. Even its suppressive security forces, like the Basij and the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), are trying to distance themselves from the regime, at a time when the regime has also lost much control in Iraq. The Iranian people are getting slaughtered, imprisoned and tortured by the Iranian regime, with no end in sight. The question now is whether the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will use the malaise to launch a putsch, or will Iranians again take to the streets … or both? The same night, a major complex of unknown use exploded and burned in Shiraz. And continuing regime mismanagement is making it worse: I believe that Iran is going to face a dire situation in the next few years and it’s not going to be sustainable. When America’s cyberwarfare capabilities are used against us, From Elections to Electrons – Cybersecurity Threats to America’s Infrastructure, Copyright © 1988-2021 Center for Security Policy | All Rights Reserved, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar and L’affair Khashoggi: Part 1. Iranian people are facing skyrocketing prices and are unable to make their ends meet. In June 2019, when asked if the U.S. and Israel would have to intervene militarily in Iran, Reza Pahlavi went as far as saying, “if the proper pressure does not exist at this time to force this regime to collapse, then of course it would become unavoidable to consider other options.” All of this is to say that the narrative they espouse fits their own political objectives. He is a former U.S. Navy Reserve intelligence officer with extensive national security experience working for the State Department, the Pentagon, Vice President Dick Cheney and the National Security Council. View all posts by David Wurmser →. This site, like many others, uses small files called cookies to help us improve and customize your experience. A review of the events unveils the collective enormity of what has happened. Social media in Iran posted unverified videos of bank runs. On June 26, a building in the solid-fuel assembly plant of the Khojir missile facility, which also has deal with nuclear-warhead designs, exploded with such force that it was seen 70 kilometers away. Even if the regime remains in power this time, it has been shaken to its core. As a result, they are less likely to wage terror attacks outside their borders or to support terror groups. Social media in Iran posted unverified videos of bank runs. Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. Beijing ups the ante in the South China Sea, The odd couple: Vietnam, Laos get new leaders. Demonstrations are spreading in major cities. Also, by the end of last week, Iran’s currency had sharply fallen, dropping from about 200,000 rials to the dollar on Friday to 264,000 by Monday. This is the same general area in which the Israelis two years ago seized Iran’s nuclear archives, namely Turouzabad-Kharizak, and in which Israel and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) suspect also was a major nuclear warehouse. Recent days have been some of the worst the Iranian regime has suffered, including a series of explosions and fires on an almost daily basis in sensitive military facilities, critical infrastructure or unspecified installations. Experts Discuss Iranian Regime Fall Scenario The regime in Tehran is weak, vulnerable, and should be targeted. Perhaps this is why recent political discourse, such as the one last weekend in which Foreign Minister Javad Zarif was lambasted, has turned so acrimonious. Iranians are numbed to catastrophe as the norm and to coverup as a given. By. On June 30, an explosion, fire and then hefty secondary explosions ripped through the sub-basement levels of a medical center in northern Tehran. Key point: The collapse of Iran would be catastrophic for regional security. For example, the video released of the latest event in Baqershahr described a minor explosion in a factory in a mundane industry. It has suffered a catastrophic fate.
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